← All 148 companies
Microcap Scorecard logo
Decisive Dividend DIV
Industrial holdco • April 2026 • Buffett / Munger framework
Strong Buy
8
Score
7
Moat
9
Mgmt
7
Fin
7
Pred
8
MoS
"It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price."
— Warren Buffett
Click any pillar label to read Buffett's full reasoning. Drag sliders to stress-test the analysis.
Moatwhy
7/10
Decisive Dividend has a narrow but real competitive advantage. There are switching costs or niche strengths in Industrial holdco that protect margins today. A well-resourced competitor could replicate the model eventually, but not cheaply or quickly. Buffett rates this as defensible — monitor whether the moat is widening or narrowing over time.
Managementwhy
9/10
Management at Decisive Dividend demonstrates exceptional owner-operator alignment — the gold standard Buffett seeks. Meaningful insider ownership, open-market share purchases, and a multi-year track record of per-share value creation. No excessive SBC, no empire-building. Buffett would trust this team with a blank cheque.
Financialswhy
7/10
Decisive Dividend's financial profile is solid. Manageable debt, positive free cash flow, and consistent profitability. No immediate solvency concerns. The business can fund organic growth internally. Buffett would consider this a 'good business' financially — not exceptional, but reliable. Watch debt service coverage and working capital quality.
Predictabilitywhy
7/10
Decisive Dividend's earnings have moderate predictability. Recurring revenue or contract backlog provides some visibility, but the business is not immune to economic shocks, commodity cycles, or project timing variance. Buffett would apply a wider scenario range and require a larger margin of safety to compensate for earnings uncertainty.
Margin of safetywhy
8/10
Decisive Dividend trades at a substantial discount to estimated intrinsic value — exactly the margin of safety Ben Graham demanded and Buffett requires. Even a conservative DCF produces significant upside, and book value provides a meaningful downside floor. Zero analyst coverage means the market has not done the work. This is the Munger 'fish where the fish are' scenario.
Radar chart — adjust sliders above to update
Decisive Dividend: Moat 7, Management 9, Financials 7, Predictability 7, Margin of Safety 8.
Composite: 8.0/10 • Verdict: Strong Buy
Owner earnings bridge
Buffett's real number: Net income + D&A − Maintenance capex ± Working capital. Figures are indicative estimates from pillar scores — verify against company filings.
Estimated net income+$3.08M est.
Add: depreciation & amortisation+$0.43M
Less: maintenance capex-$0.52M
Less: minority interest adj.-$0.25M
Owner earnings~$2.62M
Owner earnings per share (est. 47.4M shares)$0.055/share
Price / OE at buy price C$7.0012x
Interactive DCF — adjust assumptions
Owner earnings ($M)$2.6M
Annual growth rate8%
Discount rate9%
Stock price (CAD $)$7.00
Intrinsic value per share
Calculating...
Bear case
Stress scenario
OE halved, 0% growth, 6x earnings
Base case
Most likely path
Current OE, 8% growth, 12x earnings
Bull case
Upside scenario
OE +50%, 15% growth, 16x earnings
Financial trend chart
Revenue (est.)Earnings (est.)
Indicative trend based on pillar scores.
Investment thesis
Serial acquirer of industrial SMBs; 8.5% monthly dividend; buys at 4.5x sells at 8x EBITDA; Berkshire at nano scale.
Primary risk
Leverage at 3x EBITDA; acquisition discipline must hold
Buffett's lens on each pillar
Moat (7/10)
Decisive Dividend has a narrow but real competitive advantage. There are switching costs or niche strengths in Industrial holdco that protect margins today. A well-resourced competitor could replicate the model eventually, but not cheaply or quickly. Buffett rates this as defensible — monitor whethe...
Management (9/10)
Management at Decisive Dividend demonstrates exceptional owner-operator alignment — the gold standard Buffett seeks. Meaningful insider ownership, open-market share purchases, and a multi-year track record of per-share value creation. No excessive SBC, no empire-building. Buffett would trust this te...
Financials (7/10)
Decisive Dividend's financial profile is solid. Manageable debt, positive free cash flow, and consistent profitability. No immediate solvency concerns. The business can fund organic growth internally. Buffett would consider this a 'good business' financially — not exceptional, but reliab...
Predictability (7/10)
Decisive Dividend's earnings have moderate predictability. Recurring revenue or contract backlog provides some visibility, but the business is not immune to economic shocks, commodity cycles, or project timing variance. Buffett would apply a wider scenario range and require a larger margin of sa...
Margin of safety (8/10)
Decisive Dividend trades at a substantial discount to estimated intrinsic value — exactly the margin of safety Ben Graham demanded and Buffett requires. Even a conservative DCF produces significant upside, and book value provides a meaningful downside floor. Zero analyst coverage means the market ha...
Final verdict: Strong Buy
Target buy price: C$7.00 — 25% margin of safety on base-case intrinsic value.
Overall score: 8/10.
Dividend payer — eligible for holdco tax-efficient income strategy.
Verdict
Buffett / Munger
Strong Buy
8/10
Composite score
Target buy price
C$7.00
25% MoS on base-case intrinsic value
Checklist
DividendYes
Moat7/10
Mgmt9/10
Financials7/10
Predictability7/10
Margin of safety8/10
Pillar bars
Moat
7
Mgmt
9
Fin
7
Pred
7
MoS
8