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Sylogist Ltd
Technology SaaS • April 2026 • Buffett / Munger framework
Strong Buy
8
Score
8
Moat
6
Mgmt
7
Fin
7
Pred
8
MoS
"It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price."
— Warren Buffett
Click any pillar label to read Buffett's full reasoning. Drag sliders to stress-test the analysis.
Moatwhy
8/10
Sylogist Ltd has a wide economic moat in the Technology SaaS space — proprietary technology, high switching costs, network effects, or regulatory protection create structural barriers that protect returns on capital. Buffett's ideal: a business protected by an enduring castle surrounded by a wide moat. Competitors face real obstacles. Pricing power exists.
Managementwhy
6/10
Management at Sylogist Ltd shows reasonable alignment. There is credible insider ownership and a coherent strategic track record, though the history may be shorter or capital allocation choices have been mixed. Worth following but not yet deserving of the full Buffett trust premium. Monitor capital allocation decisions closely.
Financialswhy
7/10
Sylogist Ltd's financial profile is solid. Manageable debt, positive free cash flow, and consistent profitability. No immediate solvency concerns. The business can fund organic growth internally. Buffett would consider this a 'good business' financially — not exceptional, but reliable. Watch debt service coverage and working capital quality.
Predictabilitywhy
7/10
Sylogist Ltd's earnings have moderate predictability. Recurring revenue or contract backlog provides some visibility, but the business is not immune to economic shocks, commodity cycles, or project timing variance. Buffett would apply a wider scenario range and require a larger margin of safety to compensate for earnings uncertainty.
Margin of safetywhy
8/10
Sylogist Ltd trades at a substantial discount to estimated intrinsic value — exactly the margin of safety Ben Graham demanded and Buffett requires. Even a conservative DCF produces significant upside, and book value provides a meaningful downside floor. Zero analyst coverage means the market has not done the work. This is the Munger 'fish where the fish are' scenario.
Radar chart — adjust sliders above to update
Sylogist Ltd: Moat 8, Management 6, Financials 7, Predictability 7, Margin of Safety 8.
Composite: 8.0/10 • Verdict: Strong Buy
Owner earnings bridge
Buffett's real number: Net income + D&A − Maintenance capex ± Working capital. Figures are indicative estimates from pillar scores — verify against company filings.
Estimated net income+$3.08M est.
Add: depreciation & amortisation+$0.43M
Less: maintenance capex-$0.52M
Less: minority interest adj.-$0.25M
Owner earnings~$2.62M
Owner earnings per share (est. 47.4M shares)$0.055/share
Price / OE at buy price C$5.5012x
Interactive DCF — adjust assumptions
Owner earnings ($M)$2.6M
Annual growth rate8%
Discount rate9%
Stock price (CAD $)$5.50
Intrinsic value per share
Calculating...
Bear case
Stress scenario
OE halved, 0% growth, 6x earnings
Base case
Most likely path
Current OE, 8% growth, 12x earnings
Bull case
Upside scenario
OE +50%, 15% growth, 16x earnings
Financial trend chart
Revenue (est.)Earnings (est.)
Indicative trend based on pillar scores.
Investment thesis
Government and nonprofit SaaS; 108% NRR; 15M Texas OAG contract; 40-50% discount to peer multiples; CEO transition creates buying window.
Primary risk
Interim CEO overhang; project services revenue declining during transition
Buffett's lens on each pillar
Moat (8/10)
Sylogist Ltd has a wide economic moat in the Technology SaaS space — proprietary technology, high switching costs, network effects, or regulatory protection create structural barriers that protect returns on capital. Buffett's ideal: a business protected by an enduring castle surrounded by a wid...
Management (6/10)
Management at Sylogist Ltd shows reasonable alignment. There is credible insider ownership and a coherent strategic track record, though the history may be shorter or capital allocation choices have been mixed. Worth following but not yet deserving of the full Buffett trust premium. Monitor capital ...
Financials (7/10)
Sylogist Ltd's financial profile is solid. Manageable debt, positive free cash flow, and consistent profitability. No immediate solvency concerns. The business can fund organic growth internally. Buffett would consider this a 'good business' financially — not exceptional, but reliable. W...
Predictability (7/10)
Sylogist Ltd's earnings have moderate predictability. Recurring revenue or contract backlog provides some visibility, but the business is not immune to economic shocks, commodity cycles, or project timing variance. Buffett would apply a wider scenario range and require a larger margin of safety ...
Margin of safety (8/10)
Sylogist Ltd trades at a substantial discount to estimated intrinsic value — exactly the margin of safety Ben Graham demanded and Buffett requires. Even a conservative DCF produces significant upside, and book value provides a meaningful downside floor. Zero analyst coverage means the market has not...
Final verdict: Strong Buy
Target buy price: C$5.50 — 25% margin of safety on base-case intrinsic value.
Overall score: 8/10.
No current dividend.
Verdict
Buffett / Munger
Strong Buy
8/10
Composite score
Target buy price
C$5.50
25% MoS on base-case intrinsic value
Checklist
DividendNo
Moat8/10
Mgmt6/10
Financials7/10
Predictability7/10
Margin of safety8/10
Pillar bars
Moat
8
Mgmt
6
Fin
7
Pred
7
MoS
8